Indianapolis Colts (No. 1) | Last Week: 1 | Projected rank: 3 | Win probability: 75% | Vegas projected win total: 24.5% | Rank: 3/1 | Average win percentage: 1.9 | Vegas fantasy points per game: 19.3 | Average projected win percentage for the rest of the season: -1.2 | 2.
San Francisco 49ers (No 2) | Win percentage: 57% | Projection rank: 2 | Win total: 22.4% | Average predicted win percentage from Vegas: -2.2% | 3.
Detroit Lions (No 3) | Projections: 4 | Win margin: 0.8% | Win rate: 76% | Actual win: 11.8 | 4.
New Orleans Saints (No 4) | Wins: 3 (T-1st) | Actual wins: 8 (2nd) | Rank-based win percentage (from Vegas): 1.1 | 5.
Philadelphia Eagles (No 5) | Record: 4-0 | Win: 13-4 | Actual winning percentage: 44.4 percent | Rank based on wins above replacement: 2.9 (11th) | 6.
Arizona Cardinals (No 6) | Current rank: No. 2 | Actual rank: 1 (12th) • Arizona Cardinals’ offensive line could use a boost • Los Angeles Rams’ secondary could use another upgrade • San Diego Chargers’ secondary was terrible in Week 1.
How do these teams stack up?
• Seattle Seahawks: The Seahawks have a big defense, and they’re a solid pass rush • New England Patriots: New England’s defense is built to be explosive, and the Pats have been pretty good at it against the run, too • Cleveland Browns: Cleveland’s offense is built around DeShone Kizer and Isaiah Crowell, and their defense is still in flux • Kansas City Chiefs: Kansas City’s defense has been the biggest surprise of the year, and there’s a lot of question marks surrounding it • Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons are built to win close games, and are one of the best in the league at stopping the run • Buffalo Bills: The Bills are still very young and have a lot to learn, but they’re the AFC’s best passing defense • Washington: The Redskins are built around Robert Griffin III, and have the talent to be a dangerous passing offense • Oakland Raiders: The Raiders have the No. 1 overall pick, and should be able to keep up with the rest.
But if they lose to New Orleans in Week 2, it could be tough to sustain the momentum • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Bucs have a huge defense and could use an upgrade • New York Jets: The Jets are one game into a rebuild, and will likely need a major overhaul if they want to stay relevant heading into the bye week • Indianapolis Colts: The Colts are built like a tank, and need to get better on the offensive line, but there are other concerns • Carolina Panthers: The Panthers are built as a defensive powerhouse, and can be relied upon to score points against the pass • Atlanta: The Atlanta Falcons are building an elite offense, and it’s up to quarterback Matt Ryan to keep them competitive.
The defense is also in flux.
• Tampa’s defense isn’t built to stop the run.
The Panthers have a solid defense and a good offensive line.
But they need to add another linebacker and some depth • Cincinnati Bengals: The Bengals were one of our most consistent teams last year, but their pass rush is very limited.
It’s also important to note that this is the third time they’ve been without a sack.
They could still get better.
• San Francisco: The 49ers are built for a top-five defense, but will need to shore up their pass protection • Arizona: The Cardinals are a talented team with some questions.
It could be the start of a rebuilding process, and that would make for a tougher task for Carson Palmer • Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins were one the league’s best offenses last year.
They have some question marks at the offensive tackle position and on the defensive line • Indianapolis: The Indians are built in the mold of the Raiders.
The biggest question mark is on defense.
There’s also a lot more uncertainty surrounding the coaching staff • Atlanta has some of the league-best talent in the secondary.
The Falcons have to make the most out of it, though, and get the most from the rest • Tampa-St. Petersburg Buccaneers: Tampa Bay has a lot going for it, and could easily contend for the NFC South title.
But it’s hard to put much stock into their offense.
They’ve had a bad start to the season, and coach Lovie Smith is looking for a turnaround.